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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nantes

Montpellier
0 - 3
Nantes

FT(HT: 0-1)
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lyon
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
31.91% (-0.314 -0.31)26.66% (0.028000000000002 0.03)41.44% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.198 -0.2)53.63% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.168 -0.17)75.13% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.315 -0.31)31.22% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.369 -0.37)67.57% (0.37 0.37)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.53% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.083999999999996 0.08)60.38% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 31.91%
    Nantes 41.44%
    Draw 26.65%
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.91%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.44%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nantes

Montpellier HSC
33.3%
Draw
27.1%
Nantes
39.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

Ristic (79')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Montpellier
2-0
Nantes
Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Montpellier
Kolo (33')
Coco (82'), Blas (90+1')
Laborde (30'), Delort (76')
Hilton (18'), Souquet (45+1')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Oyongo (6')
Souquet (31'), Delort (55'), Le Tallec (59'), Ferri (73'), Congre (75')
Louza (51')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Montpellier
P-P
Nantes
rhs 2.0


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