Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.