Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
29.97% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.01) | 45.75% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( 0.05) | 44.28% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( 0.05) | 66.65% ( -0.05) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( 0.01) | 27.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.56% ( 0.01) | 63.44% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( 0.03) | 19.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.63% ( 0.06) | 51.37% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |