Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 29.97% ( | 24.28% ( | 45.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( | 44.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( | 66.65% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( | 27.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% ( | 63.44% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( | 19.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( | 51.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.97% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.75% |