Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
1 - 1
Monaco

Sanchez (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Veretout (17' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, January 15 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
49.92% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.23% (0.012999999999998 0.01)25.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)46.79% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.087 -0.09)69.05% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)18.79% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)50.2% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)32.16% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)68.64% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 49.91%
    Monaco 25.85%
    Draw 24.23%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.91%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 25.85%

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
53.3%
Draw
30.0%
Monaco
16.7%
90
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
Sanchez (78')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Monaco
3-1
Marseille
Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')
Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')
Dec 12, 2020 4pm
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!