Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 1Monaco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
We said: Marseille 2-2 Monaco
Both teams are coming off strong showings last weekend for different reasons, and as good as Marseille have been at home, Les Monegasques have fared well on the road over this campaign, with only one domestic defeat all season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
49.92% ( 0.03) | 24.23% ( 0.01) | 25.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
