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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Marseille

Troyes
0 - 2
Marseille

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbemba (10'), Veretout (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-3 Troyes
Monday, January 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawMarseille
21.07%22.93%56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 53.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.8% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18%45.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 21.07%
    Marseille 55.99%
    Draw 22.93%
TroyesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.99%
2-1 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 3.06%
3-1 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-3 @ 5.97%
0-3 @ 5.85%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 2.71%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 1.38%
1-5 @ 0.98%
0-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 55.99%

How you voted: Troyes vs Marseille

Troyes
9.4%
Draw
11.8%
Marseille
78.8%
85
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
1-1
Marseille
Touzghar (90')
Balde (27'), Tardieu (36'), Rami (36'), Conte (49'), Biancone (90+5')
Payet (28' pen.)
Rongier (11'), Payet (55'), Lopez (85')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
1-0
Troyes
Lirola (74')
Gueye (16')

Salmier (10'), Tardieu (17'), Kone (43'), Rodrigues (59')
Apr 15, 2018 4pm
Troyes
2-3
Marseille
Grandsir (1'), Nivet (49')
Giraudon (27'), Zalazny (75')
N'Jie (11'), Mitroglou (75'), Thauvin (85')
Rami (45'), Payet (59'), Thauvin (66')
Dec 20, 2017 7.50pm
Marseille
3-1
Troyes
Payet (31'), Gustavo (66'), Germain (84')
Thauvin (54')
Pele (14')
May 14, 2016 8pm
Troyes
1-1
Marseille
Camus (10')
Xavier (30'), Martial (81')
Fletcher (61')
Dja Djedje (23')
rhs 2.0


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