Marseille
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Vélodrome
Rennes

Marseille
1 - 0
Rennes

Guendouzi (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Rennes

All competitions
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 PSG
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawRennes
44.97% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)24.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)30.2% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.38% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)46.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (0.055 0.05)68.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.067000000000007 0.07)28.83% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)64.69% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 44.97%
    Rennes 30.2%
    Draw 24.82%
MarseilleDrawRennes
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.2%

How you voted: Marseille vs Rennes

Marseille
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Rennes
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
Traore (7')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')
Sep 19, 2021 4pm
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Dieng (48'), Harit (71')
Sampaoli (33')

Bade (44'), Santamaria (64'), Genesio (65')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Marseille
1-0
Rennes
Cuisance (88')
Caleta-Car (32'), Kamara (79')

Camavinga (33'), Aguerd (41'), Nyamsi (45+1'), Genesio (80')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Rennes
2-1
Marseille
Traore (63'), Hunou (83')
Hunou (72')
Gueye (24')
Gueye (11'), Balerdi (42'), Cuisance (80')
Gueye (36')
rhs 2.0


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