MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 19:27:40| >> :600:2520646:2520646:
Marseille
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Vélodrome
Rennes

Marseille
1 - 0
Rennes

Guendouzi (59')
Balerdi (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wooh (8'), Traore (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coupe de France clash between Marseille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 14 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 PSG
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 2-1 Rennes

It should be a close encounter between a pair of sides near the top of the league table, but the loss of Terrier might tip the scales in favour of the home side, while we expect Rennes could have a let-down given the emotional high they experienced when defeating PSG last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
MarseilleDrawRennes
44.97% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 24.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 30.2% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.38% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)46.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (0.055 0.05)68.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.067000000000007 0.07)28.83% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)64.69% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 44.97%
    Rennes 30.2%
    Draw 24.82%
MarseilleDrawRennes
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.2%

How you voted: Marseille vs Rennes

Marseille
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Rennes
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
May 14, 2022 8pm
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Bourigeaud (12'), Majer (35')
Tait (27')

Sampaoli (27'), Caleta-Car (64'), Gueye (70')
Sep 19, 2021 4pm
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Dieng (48'), Harit (71')
Sampaoli (33')

Bade (44'), Santamaria (64'), Genesio (65')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Marseille
1-0
Rennes
Cuisance (88')
Caleta-Car (32'), Kamara (79')

Camavinga (33'), Aguerd (41'), Nyamsi (45+1'), Genesio (80')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Rennes
2-1
Marseille
Traore (63'), Hunou (83')
Hunou (72')
Gueye (24')
Gueye (11'), Balerdi (42'), Cuisance (80')
Gueye (36')
rhs 2.0
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