Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 11, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
3 - 1
PSG

Golovin (4'), Ben Yedder (18', 45+2')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Zaire-Emery (39')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, February 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PSG
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
23.48% ( -0.07)	21.28% ( -0.07)	55.23% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 62.71% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.44% (

0.28)

35.55% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.39% (

0.31)

57.6% (

-0.32)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

0.1)

27.98% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

0.13)

63.62% (

-0.13)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07% (

0.13)

12.93% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62% (

0.28)

39.37% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Monaco 23.48%

Paris Saint-Germain 55.23%

Draw 21.28%

Monaco	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.48%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.28%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.23%