Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.