Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.57%) and 0-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
23.48% ( -0.07) | 21.28% ( -0.07) | 55.23% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 62.71% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.44% ( 0.28) | 35.55% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.39% ( 0.31) | 57.6% ( -0.32) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.1) | 27.98% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.38% ( 0.13) | 63.62% ( -0.13) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.07% ( 0.13) | 12.93% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.62% ( 0.28) | 39.37% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |