Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.