Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
0 - 2
Marseille

FT(HT: 0-0)
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
21.03% (0.433 0.43)23.57% (0.357 0.36)55.4% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.475 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.951 -0.95)48.81% (0.951 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.869 -0.87)70.9% (0.869 0.87)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (-0.103 -0.1)37.61% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)74.39% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.626 -0.63)17.47% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (-1.104 -1.1)47.94% (1.104 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 21.03%
    Marseille 55.4%
    Draw 23.56%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.48% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 21.03%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.4%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
13.6%
Draw
15.9%
Marseille
70.5%
88
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!