Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 3
Nice

Malinovskyi (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Nice
58.11% ( 0.07)	22.92% ( -0)	18.97% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23% (

-0.09)

48.77% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

-0.08)

70.87% (

0.08)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

-0.01)

16.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.79% (

-0.02)

46.21% (

0.01)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.23% (

-0.13)

39.77% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.56% (

-0.12)

76.44% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Marseille 58.11%

Nice 18.97%

Draw 22.91%

Marseille	Draw	Nice
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.11%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.91%	0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.97%