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Ligue 1

Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Nice

Lens
0 - 1
Nice

FT(HT: 0-0)
Laborde (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Lille
Sunday, January 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nice had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawNice
52.59% (-0.131 -0.13)25.13% (0.055 0.05)22.28% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.5% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.135 -0.13)53.61% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.115 -0.11)75.11% (0.114 0.11)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)20.38% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (-0.171 -0.17)52.8% (0.172 0.17)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 52.57%
    Nice 22.28%
    Draw 25.12%
LensDrawNice
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.57%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Lens vs Nice

Lens
80.5%
Draw
14.6%
Nice
4.9%
82
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Nice
0-0
Lens

Said (45+1')
Apr 10, 2022 4.05pm
Lens
3-0
Nice
Kalimuendo (51', 67'), Doucoure (55')
Haise (18'), Doucoure (31'), Sotoca (66')
Haidara (17')

Guessand (38'), Gouiri (45+3'), Lemina (50')
Lemina (57'), Dante (90+1')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Nice
2-1
Lens
Lemina (63'), Kluivert (79')
Kalimuendo (30')
Haidara (23'), Gradit (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 4pm
Lens
0-1
Nice

Cahuzac (61'), Fortes (68')
Atal (49')
Boudaoui (90')
Aug 23, 2020 4pm
Nice
2-1
Lens
Gouiri (23', 75')
Dante (10'), Kamara (45+2')
Kakuta (11' pen.)
Medina (41'), Cahuzac (51'), Boura (71')