Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lille |
29.57% ( -0.2) | 26.48% ( 0.01) | 43.95% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% ( -0.14) | 53.78% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% ( -0.11) | 75.25% ( 0.11) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( -0.22) | 32.96% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( -0.24) | 69.54% ( 0.24) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.68% ( 0.03) | 24.32% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.29% ( 0.04) | 58.7% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |