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Ligue 1

Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lille

Nice
1 - 0
Lille

Laborde (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Pau
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Nice had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawLille
29.57% (-0.196 -0.2)26.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)43.95% (0.184 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.22% (-0.136 -0.14)53.78% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (-0.114 -0.11)75.25% (0.113 0.11)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)32.96% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.241 -0.24)69.54% (0.24000000000001 0.24)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.7% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nice 29.57%
    Lille 43.94%
    Draw 26.47%
NiceDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.57%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 8.02% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.94%

How you voted: Nice vs Lille

Nice
22.8%
Draw
22.8%
Lille
54.4%
79
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Lille
1-2
Nice
Bamba (20')
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)
Rosario (26')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Nice
1-3
Lille
Kluivert (31')
Lotomba (45'), Kluivert (90+1'), Galtier (90+2')
David (52', 61'), Weah (90+4')
Gudmundsson (12'), Gomes (66'), Weah (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 4pm
Lille
0-4
Nice

Celik (35'), Andre (45+2'), Yazici (56')
Dolberg (1', 64'), Boudaoui (5'), Gouiri (45+3' pen.)
Atal (21')
May 1, 2021 8pm
Lille
2-0
Nice
Yilmaz (13'), Celik (56')
Celik (21'), Claude-Maurice (27'), Lotomba (34'), C. (36'), Xeka (87')
Lotomba (48')
Oct 25, 2020 4pm
Nice
1-1
Lille
Dolberg (50')
Lees-Melou (10')
Yilmaz (58')
Botman (43'), Araujo (64'), Celik (75'), Yilmaz (78'), Fonte (84'), Maignan (89')