Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pau had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Pau
69.62% ( -0.06)	18.69% ( -0.01)	11.69% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.39% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

0.26)

44.82% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

0.25)

67.18% (

-0.24)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

0.06)

11.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.18% (

0.12)

36.82% (

-0.12)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.54% (

0.3)

47.46% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.17% (

0.22)

82.83% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Lille 69.61%

Pau 11.69%

Draw 18.69%

Lille	Draw	Pau
2-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 69.61%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.69%	0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 11.69%