Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paris FC in this match.