Ligue 2 | Gameweek 16
Dec 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Nouveau Stade du Hameau

Pau
0 - 1
Paris FC

FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bordeaux 1-1 Pau
Saturday, November 12 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Paris FC
Friday, December 16 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paris FC in this match.

Result
PauDrawParis FC
30.94% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)28.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)40.46% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.22% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)61.04% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)81.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)35.79% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.57% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.56% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pau 30.93%
    Paris FC 40.45%
    Draw 28.59%
PauDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 30.93%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.59%
0-1 @ 12.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 7.86% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Pau vs Paris FC

Pau
25.0%
Draw
41.7%
Paris FC
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 6pm
Paris FC
1-1
Pau
Boutaib (79' pen.)
Kore (18'), Hadjam (51')
Armand (60')
Batisse (76'), Armand (85')
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Pau
1-0
Paris FC
Lobry (37')
Feb 13, 2021 6pm
Pau
1-1
Paris FC
Itaitinga (55')
Diarra (13'), Beusnard (39'), Assifuah (71')
Abdi (82')
Belaud (31'), Lopez (50')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Paris FC
1-0
Pau
Arab (79')
Laura (23'), Guilavogui (44'), Jason Kikonda (62')

Kouassi (55'), Sabaly (83')