Ligue 2 Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Amadou Dia Ndiaye 11' goal

Metz vs Pau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 6.00pm
Bastia 1 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Pau

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 6.00pm
Pau 1 - 0 Valenciennes
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result

Metz 57.72% (-0.05)
Draw 24.19% (+0.03)
Pau 18.09% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.11% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.1% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 54.9% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 23.81% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 76.19% (+0.07)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5 81.13% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.87% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 49.66% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.34% (+0.08)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5 55.61% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 44.39% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 19.56% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 80.44% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Metz 57.7%
Draw 24.19%
Pau 18.09%
Metz
1-0 @ 13.96% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 57.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.38% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.19%
Pau
0-1 @ 6.8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.09%