Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Pau
57.72% ( -0.04)	24.19% ( 0.03)	18.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.11% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

-0.09)

54.9% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

-0.07)

76.19% (

0.07)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.05)

18.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.66% (

-0.08)

50.34% (

0.08)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61% (

-0.04)

44.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56% (

-0.03)

80.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Metz 57.7%

Pau 18.09%

Draw 24.19%

Metz	Draw	Pau
1-0 @ 13.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.09%