Ligue 2 | Gameweek 19
Jan 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari

Bastia
1 - 0
Pau

Santelli (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Pau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Quevilly 1-1 Bastia
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 0-0 Grenoble
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 28.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawPau
41.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)30.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.23% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.65% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)85.03% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.14% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (-0.012 -0.01)41.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)77.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 41.62%
    Pau 28.22%
    Draw 30.15%
BastiaDrawPau
1-0 @ 14.96%
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 7.64%
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.15%
0-1 @ 11.59%
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Bastia vs Pau

Bastia
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Pau
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Pau
Santelli (50')
Magri (48'), Ducrocq (67'), Bocognano (74')
Essende (56')
Essende (55')
Aug 21, 2021 6pm
Pau
2-0
Bastia
Koffi (38'), Assifuah (49')
Daubin (61'), Gomis (70')

Schur (28'), Santelli (34')
Guidi (86')