Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17
Dec 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari

Bastia
1 - 0
Valenciennes

Drame (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 1-0 Caen
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Ligue 2

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last Game: Valenciennes 1-1 Amiens
Monday, December 26 at 8pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 30.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawValenciennes
38.01% (0.491 0.49)31.15% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)30.83% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 38.79% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.18% (0.104 0.1)68.82% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.53% (0.068 0.07)86.47% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.89% (0.377 0.38)35.11% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14% (0.392 0.39)71.86% (-0.392 -0.39)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78% (-0.275 -0.27)40.22% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (-0.253 -0.25)76.85% (0.253 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 38.01%
    Valenciennes 30.83%
    Draw 31.15%
BastiaDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 14.78% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.01%
0-0 @ 14.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 12.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Valenciennes
Abeid (20' og.)
Sainati (16'), Magri (64'), Robic (87'), Guidi (89')
Bonnet (11')
Abeid (59'), Chevalier (87'), Bonnet (89')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Valenciennes
2-1
Bastia
Cuffaut (7' pen.), Robail (66')
Ntim (16'), Lecoeuche (62'), Kaba (88')
Santelli (43')
Palun (6'), Robic (57')
Jan 11, 2014 7pm
Valenciennes
3-2
Bastia
Dossevi (33', 35'), Waris (54')
Romaric (71'), Araujo (82')
> Match Report
Aug 17, 2013 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Valenciennes
Bruno (77'), Ba (79')
Diakite (35'), Yatabare (58')

Ducourtioux (34'), Lala (69')
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2013 7pm
Valenciennes
3-4
Bastia
Danic (30' pen.), Gomis (9'), Pujol (90')
Penneteau (24'), Sanchez (32'), Isimat-Mirin (36')
Maoulida (20', 49'), Thauvin (84' pen., 89')
Yatabaré (13')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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