/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Ftrolog.png)
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Mohamed Bayo
16'
-
Jonathan David
45'+2'
-
Mohamed Bayo
47'
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Alan Virginius
75'
-
Jonathan David
88'
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Mama Balde
65'
Lille vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
68.01%
▼
(-0.81)
Draw
18.93%
▲
(+0.43)
Troyes
13.06%
▲
(+0.38)
Both Teams to Score:
49.83%
▼
(-0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.5%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 2.5
42.5%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 3.5
35.1%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 3.5
64.9%
▲
(+1.03)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
88.52%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 0.5
11.48%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
63.67%
▼
(-1.10)
Under 1.5
36.33%
▲
(+1.10)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5
56.29%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
43.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
20.12%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
79.88%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Lille
68%
Draw
18.93%
Troyes
13.06%
Lille
2-0
@
11.75%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 68%
1-0 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.17)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 68%
Draw
1-1
@
8.99%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 18.93%
0-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 18.93%
Troyes
0-1
@
4.15%
▲
(+0.18)
1-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.06%
1-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 13.06%
Renato Sanches
50'
Renato Sanches
50'