Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 15, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
5 - 1
Troyes

Bayo (16', 47'), David (45+2', 88'), Virginius (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Balde (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Lille
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 13.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Troyes
68.01% ( -0.8)	18.93% ( 0.42)	13.06% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.5% (

-1.02)

42.5% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1% (

-1.03)

64.9% (

1.03)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.52% (

-0.5)

11.48% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.67% (

-1.09)

36.33% (

1.09)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.29% (

-0.05)

43.71% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

-0.05)

79.88% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Lille 68%

Troyes 13.06%

Draw 18.93%

Lille	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.67% Total : 68%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 18.93%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.06%