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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
0 - 0
Lille

FT

Cabella (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

Under new management, Brest will hope they can turn a corner following a tough start, but a third consecutive European-chasing opponent will present a huge challenge. This has not been a happy hunting ground recently though for Lille, and there will be pressure on the side to win given their underwhelming league position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
19.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.87% (0.00099999999999767 0) 57.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)47.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.044 -0.04)69.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.067 -0.07)37.84% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)74.61% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.95%
    Lille 57.16%
    Draw 22.87%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.16%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
16.2%
Draw
15.2%
Lille
68.6%
105
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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