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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lille

Brest
0 - 0
Lille

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Brest
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
19.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)22.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.18% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)47.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (-0.044 -0.04)69.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16% (-0.067 -0.07)37.84% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)74.61% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)45.84% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.95%
    Lille 57.16%
    Draw 22.87%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 19.95%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.87%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 57.16%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
16.2%
Draw
15.2%
Lille
68.6%
105
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Lille
0-0
Brest

Celik (44'), Bamba (75')

Belkebla (7')
Nov 8, 2020 12pm
Brest
3-2
Lille
Pierre-Gabriel (15'), Perraud (19'), Cardona (42')
Chardonnet (52'), Mounie (56'), Larsonneur (87'), Faussurier (90+1')
Yilmaz (45+3' pen., 57')
Yilmaz (45+3'), Mandava (64'), Fonte (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Brest
P-P
Lille