Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Jan 28, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 1
Lens

Larouci (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thomasson (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 5-1 Troyes
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lens
17.08% ( 0.18)	22.44% ( 0.04)	60.47% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

0.12)

49.67% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31% (

0.11)

71.68% (

-0.11)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.47% (

0.29)

42.53% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.11% (

0.25)

78.89% (

-0.25)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

-0.03)

16% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.67% (

-0.06)

45.32% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Troyes 17.08%

Lens 60.46%

Draw 22.44%

Troyes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.08%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.97% 0-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 60.46%