Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lens |
17.08% ( 0.18) | 22.44% ( 0.04) | 60.47% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( 0.12) | 49.67% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% ( 0.11) | 71.68% ( -0.11) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.47% ( 0.29) | 42.53% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.11% ( 0.25) | 78.89% ( -0.25) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84% ( -0.03) | 16% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.67% ( -0.06) | 45.32% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.08% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.42% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.97% 0-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 60.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |