Coupe de France
Jan 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Islam Slimani 19' goal
  • goal Wesley Said 5'
  • goal Facundo Medina 30'
  • goal Adrien Thomasson 37'

Brest vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Lens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result

Brest 21.84% (+0.11)
Draw 23.25% (+0.03)
Lens 54.91% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.64% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 46.52% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.8% (-0.01)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 64.48% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 35.52% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 27.71% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 72.29% (-0.11)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 83.18% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 16.82% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 53.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 46.8% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Brest 21.84%
Draw 23.25%
Lens 54.9%
Brest
1-0 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.71% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.97% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.25%
Lens
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.49% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.84% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.64% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 54.9%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Florian Sotoca 27' goal
  • David Costa 38' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 62' goal
  • Florian Sotoca 65' goal
  • Kevin Danso 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 31'
  • yellowcard Youcef Belaili 43'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 62'
  • goal Haris Belkebla 66'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 71'
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 5, 2022 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Facundo Medina 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haris Belkebla 54'
  • goal Franck Honorat 59'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Nov 21, 2021 12.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Steve Mounie 3' goal
  • Brendan Chardonnet 13' goal
  • Romain Faivre 33' goal
  • Jean-Kevin Duverne 58' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 69' goal
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 36'
  • redcard Arnaud Kalimuendo 74'
  • yellowcard Cheick Doucoure 76'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Loic Bade 35' yellowcard
  • Yannick Cahuzac 37' goal
  • Massadio Haidara 48' yellowcard
  • Steven Fortes 54' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 59' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Clauss 63' yellowcard
  • Franck Haise 65' redcard
  • Gael Kakuta 72' goal
  • Steven Fortes 81' redcard
  • Jean Lucas 87' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 89' redcard
  • Simon Banza 89' redcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2020 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 11' goal
  • Florian Sotoca 34' goal
  • yellowcard Ronael Pierre-Gabriel 13'
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Duverne 32'
  • goal Gaetan Charbonnier 90'+4'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2019 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Yoann Court 35' goal
  • Mathias Autret 45' goal
  • Mathias Autret 52' yellowcard