Coupe de France | Round of 32

Jan 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 3
Lens

Slimani (19')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 Brest
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lens
21.84% ( 0.1)	23.25% ( 0.03)	54.91% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.64% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.48% (

46.52% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

68.8% (

-0)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

0.1)

35.52% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.71% (

0.1)

72.29% (

-0.11)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-0.05)

16.82% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-0.08)

46.8% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Brest 21.84%

Lens 54.9%

Draw 23.25%

Brest	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.84%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.9%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest

16.7%

Draw

10.0%

Lens

73.3%

Head to Head

Aug 7, 2022 2pm

Lens

3-2

Brest

Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')

Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')

Mar 5, 2022 4pm

Lens

0-1

Brest

Medina (67')

Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')

Nov 21, 2021 12pm

Brest

4-0

Lens

Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')

Apr 18, 2021 2pm

Brest

1-1

Lens

Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')

Dec 23, 2020 6pm

Lens

2-1

Brest

Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)

Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')

Form Guide