Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
78.35% (![]() | 12.91% (![]() | 8.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.86% (![]() | 25.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.89% (![]() | 45.11% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.89% (![]() | 5.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.69% (![]() | 20.31% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% (![]() | 39.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.12% (![]() | 75.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
2-0 @ 8.85% (![]() 3-0 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 5.96% Total : 78.35% | 1-1 @ 5.58% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.91% | 1-2 @ 2.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 8.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |