Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
78.35% ( 0.08) | 12.91% ( -0.03) | 8.73% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.86% ( -0.07) | 25.14% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.89% ( -0.1) | 45.11% ( 0.09) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.89% ( -0) | 5.11% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.69% ( -0) | 20.31% ( 0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% ( -0.18) | 39.16% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.12% ( -0.17) | 75.88% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.96% Total : 78.35% | 1-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.91% | 1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 8.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |