Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2023 at 4pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
Toulouse

Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

van den Boomen (20')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
78.35% ( 0.08)	12.91% ( -0.03)	8.73% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.73% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.86% (

-0.07)

25.14% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.89% (

-0.1)

45.11% (

0.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.89% (

-0)

5.11% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.69% (

-0)

20.31% (

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.18)

39.16% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

-0.17)

75.88% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 78.35%

Toulouse 8.73%

Draw 12.91%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Toulouse
2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.96% Total : 78.35%	1-1 @ 5.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.91%	1-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 8.73%