Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Achraf Hakimi 38' goal
  • Lionel Messi 58' goal
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 20'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2023 8.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 3 PSG
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2023 6.00pm
Toulouse 4 - 1 Troyes
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 78.35% (+0.09)
Draw 12.91% (-0.03)
Toulouse 8.73% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.73% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.86% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 25.14% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 54.89% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 45.11% (+0.10)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 94.89% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 5.11% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 79.69% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 20.31% (+0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 60.84% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 39.16% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 24.12% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 75.88% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 78.35%
Draw 12.91%
Toulouse 8.73%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-0 @ 8.85% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 8.77% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.52% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 3.88% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.87% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.96%
Total : 78.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 12.91%
Toulouse
1-2 @ 2.62% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 8.73%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rafael Ratao 64' yellowcard
  • goal Neymar 37'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
  • goal Juan Bernat 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 9, 2020 7.00pm
Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2019 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes (Paris)
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 50' goal
  • Mathieu Goncalves 55' goal
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 75' goal
  • Marquinhos 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 56'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Ibrahim Sangare 8' yellowcard
  • Kalidou Sidibe 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 36'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 74'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2018 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes (Paris)
  • Edinson Cavani 9' goal
Ligue 1
Feb 10, 2018 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
  • Corentin Jean 40' yellowcard
  • Max Gradel 41' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sanogo 45' yellowcard
  • Steeve Yago 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 20'
  • yellowcard Lassana Diarra 55'
  • goal Neymar 68'

Build-up

News