Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thijs Dallinga 16' goal
  • Fares Chaibi 36' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 55' goal
  • Ado Onaiwu 88' goal
  • goal Mama Balde 12'

Toulouse vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 2.00pm
Strasbourg 1 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Troyes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 4.00pm
Troyes 1 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Mama Balde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 64.53% (+0.13)
Draw 20.33% (-0.04)
Troyes 15.14% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.69% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.78% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.22% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.6% (+0.03)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 87.04% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 12.96% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 60.56% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 39.44% (-0.06)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5 58.24% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 41.76% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 21.77% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 78.23% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Toulouse 64.52%
Draw 20.33%
Troyes 15.14%
Toulouse
2-0 @ 11.29% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 11.06% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.7% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.72% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.93% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 64.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.33%
Troyes
0-1 @ 4.73% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.14%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2022 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rominigue Kouame 42' yellowcard
  • Florian Tardieu 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 30'
  • goal Yasser Larouci 36' (OG)
  • goal Rafael Ratao 54'
  • goal Rhys Healey 85'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 24
Feb 6, 2021 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jimmy Giraudon 29' yellowcard
  • Yoann Salmier 36' yellowcard
  • Tristan Dingome 50' goal
  • Oualid El Hajjam 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Amine Adli 15'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 30'
  • yellowcard Brecht Dejaegere 38'
  • yellowcard Rhys Healey 70'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bafode Diakite 36' yellowcard
  • Bafode Diakite 53' redcard
  • Ruben Gabrielsen 80' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Kalidou Sidibe 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard L. Batlles 89'
Ligue 1
Jan 27, 2018 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
  • Yaya Sanogo 11' goal
  • Ibrahim Sangare 47' yellowcard
  • redcard Jimmy Giraudon 3'
  • yellowcard Gabriel 38'
  • yellowcard Oswaldo Vizcarrondo 43'
  • yellowcard Karim Azamoum 87'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tinhan 90'
Ligue 1
Sep 9, 2017 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charles Traore 19' yellowcard
  • Adama Niane 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Delort 7'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Durmaz 17'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 18'
Ligue 1
May 7, 2016 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oscar Trejo 53' goal
  • Jean Akpa Akpro 86' yellowcard
  • Oscar Trejo 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Karim Azamoum 18'
  • yellowcard Matthieu Saunier 50'
  • yellowcard Chaouki Ben Saada 88'