Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
4 - 1
Troyes

Dallinga (16'), Chaibi (36'), van den Boomen (55' pen.), Onaiwu (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Balde (12' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Troyes
64.53% ( 0.12)	20.33% ( -0.03)	15.14% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-0.02)

44.22% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.41% (

-0.02)

66.6% (

0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

0.03)

12.96% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.56% (

0.06)

39.44% (

-0.06)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

-0.13)

41.76% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

-0.12)

78.23% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 64.52%

Troyes 15.14%

Draw 20.33%

Toulouse	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 64.52%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.33%	0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.14%