Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.