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Ligue 1

Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Strasbourg

Lyon
1 - 2
Strasbourg

Lacazette (45+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Aholou (29'), Diallo (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lyon
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawStrasbourg
63.95% (0.238 0.24)19.74% (-0.067 -0.07)16.31% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)39.18% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)61.51% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.61% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (0.131 0.13)36.6% (-0.131 -0.13)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.212 -0.21)37.16% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.214 -0.21)73.94% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 63.95%
    Strasbourg 16.31%
    Draw 19.74%
LyonDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 10% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.87% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.95%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.74%
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Lyon vs Strasbourg

Lyon
72.7%
Draw
19.7%
Strasbourg
7.6%
66
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Strasbourg
1-1
Lyon
Sissoko (20')
Aholou (68'), Ajorque (90+1'), Sissoko (90+1')
Toko Ekambi (90')
Dubois (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
Lyon
3-1
Strasbourg
Dembele (8'), Denayer (64'), Paqueta (87')
Diomande (29'), Boateng (84')
Diallo (90+6' pen.)
Djiku (47')
Feb 6, 2021 6pm
Lyon
3-0
Strasbourg
Depay (20', 68'), Toko Ekambi (30')
Marcelo (41'), Diomande (61')

Thomasson (14'), Laurey (51')
Thomasson (14')
Oct 18, 2020 12pm
Strasbourg
2-3
Lyon
Diallo (44'), Aholou (55')
Ajorque (57'), Aholou (90+3')
Kadewere (12'), Toko Ekambi (25', 42')
Kadewere (20'), Cornet (45+1'), Toko Ekambi (52')
Feb 16, 2020 2pm
Lyon
1-1
Strasbourg
Traore (21')
Traore (41'), Aouar (79'), Dembele (90')
Zohi (42')
Kone (47')
rhs 2.0


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