Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IMT Novi Beograd win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a IMT Novi Beograd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.