Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.67% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%) , while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.