Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.58% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%) , while for a Le Havre win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.