Ligue 1

Dec 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Lorient
1-0
Lyon

Pagis (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Lorient
Sunday, December 14 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: AS Gosier vs. Lorient
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Next Game: Saint-Cyr Collonges vs. Lyon
Saturday, December 20 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Lyon
30.76%	23.71%	45.52%

Both teams to score 60.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.75%

41.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.36%

63.64%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19%

25.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.23%

60.77%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62%

18.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48%

49.51%

Score Analysis

Lorient 30.76%

Lyon 45.52%

Draw 23.71%

Lorient	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 4.35% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.76%	1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.57% Total : 45.52%