Ligue 1
Dec 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Pagis 39' goal
  • Sambou Soumano 57' yellowcard
  • Laurent Abergel 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ainsley Maitland-Niles 37'
  • yellowcard Ainsley Maitland-Niles 42'

Lorient vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 4.15pm
Lorient 3 - 1 Nice
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Sambou Soumano

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2025 7.45pm
Lyon 3 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Abner Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 30.76%
Draw 23.71%
Lyon 45.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.55%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.75%
Under 2.5 41.24%
Over 3.5 36.36%
Under 3.5 63.64%
Over 4.5 19.29%
Under 4.5 80.71%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 74.19%
Under 0.5 25.81%
Over 1.5 39.23%
Under 1.5 60.77%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 81.62%
Under 0.5 18.38%
Over 1.5 50.48%
Under 1.5 49.51%

Score analysis

Lorient 30.76%
Draw 23.71%
Lyon 45.52%
Lorient
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 30.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.74%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.71%
Lyon
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-1 @ 8.04%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 45.52%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 52'
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 52'
  • goal Mama Balde 64'
  • goal Mama Balde 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Ernest Nuamah 21' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 22' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 41' goal
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 16'
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 54'
  • goal Darlin Yongwa 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 4.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Sep 7, 2022 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Enzo Le Fee 6' goal
  • Terem Moffi 33' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 49' goal
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 28'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Thomas Monconduit 32' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 57' goal
  • goal Romain Faivre 5'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 26'
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 59'
  • goal Romain Faivre 78'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Emerson Palmieri 15' redcard
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 50' goal
  • Leo Dubois 67' yellowcard
  • goal Armand Lauriente 20'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 28'
  • yellowcard Fabien Lemoine 61'