Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.97% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%) , while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.