Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.47%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 30.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (11.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.