Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 57.18%. A win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win was 1-2 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.