Welsh Premier League
Pen-y-Bont
Dec 26, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Briton Ferry
  • Chris Venables 8' redcard
  • James Crole 42' goal
  • Billy Borge 51' yellowcard
  • Owen Pritchard 55' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Bates 49'
  • yellowcard Ollie Anderson 51'
  • goal Alex Gammond 59'
  • yellowcard Keiran Williams 68'

Pen-y-Bont vs Briton Ferry - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 5, 2025 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Barry
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
James Crole

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 12.30pm
Connah's Quay 4 - 2 Briton Ferry
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Thomas Walters

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a Briton Ferry win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Pen-y-Bont 66.17% ▲ (+1.90)
Draw 19% ▼ (-0.82)
Briton Ferry 14.83% ▼ (-1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.53% ▲ (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.24% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 2.5 38.76% ▼ (-1.59)
Over 3.5 38.93% ▲ (+1.66)
Under 3.5 61.07% ▼ (-1.66)
Over 4.5 21.28% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 4.5 78.71% ▼ (-1.30)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5 89.09% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 0.5 10.9% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 1.5 64.94% ▲ (+2.10)
Under 1.5 35.06% ▼ (-2.10)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5 61.2% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 0.5 38.79% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 24.47% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 75.52% ▲ (+0.40)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 66.16%
Draw 19%
Briton Ferry 14.83%
Pen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.34)
3-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.23)
4-0 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.34)
4-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.11)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.22)
5-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 66.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.43)
2-2 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.33)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19%
Briton Ferry
1-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.25)
0-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 14.83%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Briton Ferry
Oct 3, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Pen-y-Bont
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
Briton Ferry
  • Lewys Ware 6' yellowcard
  • Keyon Reffell 28' yellowcard
  • Clayton Green 67' yellowcard
  • James Crole 76' yellowcard
  • Kai Ludvigsen 83' yellowcard
  • Owen Pritchard 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Bates 6'
  • yellowcard Ellis Morgan Sage 20'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Lee Owen 67'
  • goal Thomas Walters 76'
  • yellowcard Kian Jenkins 87'
  • yellowcard Rhys Wilson 87'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Briton Ferry
Aug 11, 2024 5.10pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Road
Pen-y-Bont
  • Alex Gammond 31' yellowcard
  • Kristian Evans 69' yellowcard
  • goal James Crole 41'
  • yellowcard Clayton Green 44'
  • goal James Crole 45'+3'

Form Data

Pen-y-Bont 1 - 0 Barry
Colwyn Bay 5 - 4 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 2 - 1 Bala Town
Connah's Quay 4 - 0 Pen-y-Bont
Flint Town 3 - 4 Pen-y-Bont
Pen-y-Bont 0 - 2 Caernarfon
Connah's Quay 4 - 2 Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry 0 - 2 New Saints
Briton Ferry 2 - 2 Flint Town
Cardiff MU 1 - 0 Briton Ferry
Briton Ferry 2 - 0 Bala Town
Caernarfon 4 - 1 Briton Ferry