Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.