Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Koln win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.28% and a win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Chemnitzer win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.