Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Koln win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.07% and a win for Paderborn 07 II had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%) , while for a Paderborn 07 II win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.