Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.29% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.