Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.95% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%) , while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.