Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.