Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.