Shamrock Rovers
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30
Sep 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock
5 - 1
Finn Harps

Farrugia (8', 43'), Gaffney (36' pen.), Lyons (41'), Byrne (62')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Siaj (57')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Finn Harps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Shamrock 0-0 Djurgarden
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Finn Harps

Last Six:
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Finn Harps
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 69.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 11.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawFinn Harps
69.4% (-0.489 -0.49)19.18% (0.242 0.24)11.42% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 43.99% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-0.388 -0.39)47.61% (0.391 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.358 -0.36)69.81% (0.363 0.36)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.42% (-0.25 -0.25)12.58% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.34% (-0.528 -0.53)38.66% (0.52999999999999 0.53)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.32% (0.208 0.21)49.69% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.56% (0.145 0.15)84.44% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 69.39%
    Finn Harps 11.43%
    Draw 19.18%
Shamrock RoversDrawFinn Harps
2-0 @ 13.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.28% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 69.39%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.29% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.18%
0-1 @ 4.37% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.43%

Head to Head
Jul 1, 2022 8pm
Finn Harps
0-1
Shamrock

Donelon (43')
Gaffney (45')
McCann (58')
May 6, 2022 8pm
Shamrock
3-1
Finn Harps
Lopes (17'), Mandroiu (20', 28')
Tourish (41')
Donelon (24'), Tourish (31')
Apr 1, 2022 8pm
Finn Harps
0-3
Shamrock

McGinley (85')
Lyons (45+2', 79'), Burke (88' pen.)
(57'), Lopes (75')
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
Shamrock
3-0
Finn Harps
Mandroiu (4', 23'), Emakhu (87')

Connolly (80')
Sep 3, 2021 8pm
Finn Harps
2-1
Shamrock
Mustoe (56'), Owolabi (85')
Owolabi (13'), Seymore (90+2'), Mustoe (90+4')
Foley (71' og.)
Greene (3')