Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jul 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
3 - 0
Finn Harps

Leahy (4'), Ward (7'), Bradley (36')
Leahy (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Donelon (39'), Boyle (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Finn Harps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

Last Six:
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Finn Harps

Last Six:
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.55%) and 3-0 (10.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
DundalkDrawFinn Harps
71.78% (0.012 0.01)18.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.63% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.32% (-0.004999999999999 -0)86.68% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 71.77%
    Finn Harps 9.88%
    Draw 18.34%
DundalkDrawFinn Harps
2-0 @ 14.31%
1-0 @ 13.55%
3-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.88%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Finn Harps

Dundalk
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
Finn Harps
0.0%
20
Head to Head
May 23, 2022 8pm
Finn Harps
0-1
Dundalk

Devers (6'), Boyle (23'), Tourish (26'), (45+3')
Kelly (54')
(13'), (66')
Feb 28, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
3-0
Finn Harps
Bradley (44', 67'), Bone (46')
Williams (36')

Connolly (67'), Rainey (80')
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Finn Harps
2-2
Dundalk
Owolabi (19', 69')
Boyd (28'), McNamee (81'), Boyle (84'), Connolly (90')
Duffy (61'), Hoban (63' pen.)
Sloggett (34'), Dummigan (65')
Jul 17, 2021 4pm
Dundalk
1-0
Finn Harps
McMillan (33')

Webster (7')
May 14, 2021 5.45pm
Finn Harps
1-1
Dundalk
McNamee (19')
McEleney (89'), Owolabi (90+2')
Erik Midtskogen (49')
Duffy (26'), Nattestad (76'), Boyle (90+1')