Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.