Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.