League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David McMillan 51' goal
  • Joe Adams 57' goal
  • Keith Ward 90'+3' goal

Dundalk vs University College Dublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
Shelbourne 0 - 0 Dundalk
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

University College Dublin

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 24, 2022 7.45pm
UCD 0 - 1 Derry
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Tom Lonergan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result

Dundalk 78.24% (-0.03)
Draw 14.45% (+0.01)
University College Dublin 7.31% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.08% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.75% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 39.25% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 38.42% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.58% (-0.04)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 91.85% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.15% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 71.42% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 28.58% (-0.01)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5 46.9% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 53.09% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 13.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.71% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Dundalk 78.22%
Draw 14.45%
University College Dublin 7.31%
Dundalk
2-0 @ 13.59% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 11.36% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 7.13% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 78.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.87% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 14.45%
University College Dublin
0-1 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 7.31%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dara Keane 23' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 60' goal
  • 69' yellowcard
  • Colm Whelan 75' goal
  • Colm Whelan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Doyle 18'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • redcard Darragh Leahy 45'+1'
  • redcard Andy Boyle 45'+1'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 54'
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 74'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Kelly 16' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 48' goal
  • yellowcard 76'