Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.