Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.