Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Shkupi had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Shkupi win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.