Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadion Čair

Shkupi
1 - 2
Shamrock

(Shamrock Rovers win 5-2 on aggregate)

Adetunji (90+4')
Sheji (22'), Adem (45+1'), Faustin (52'), Kalanoski (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gaffney (65'), Emakhu (85')
Finn (21'), Cleary (51'), Watts (80'), Emakhu (87'), Kavanagh (90+2')

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Shkupi and Shamrock Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shkupi

Last Game: Shamrock 3-1 Shkupi
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa League

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Shamrock 3-1 Shkupi
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	24	23	52
2	Dundalk	25	19	46
3	Derry City	24	18	44

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Shkupi had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Shkupi win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.

Result
Shkupi	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
32.54% ( -0.01)	23.11% ( -0)	44.36% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.67% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.47% (

37.53% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.24% (

0.01)

59.76% (

-0.01)

Shkupi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0)

22.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

-0)

56.72% (

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63% (

0.01)

17.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.22% (

0.01)

47.78% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Shkupi 32.54%

Shamrock Rovers 44.36%

Draw 23.1%

Shkupi	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.54%	1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.1%	1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 4.08% Total : 44.36%