Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Čair

Shkupi
3 - 0
Lincoln

(Shkupi win 3-2 on aggregate)

Danfa (11'), Adetunji (29'), Chipolina (62' og.)
Margvelashvili (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shkupi and Lincoln Red Imps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shkupi

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Shkupi
Thursday, July 29 at 9pm in Europa Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, December 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkupi would win this match.

Result
Shkupi	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
50.88% ( -0)	24.21% ( 0.01)	24.91% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.24% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

-0.03)

47.49% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

-0.03)

69.7% (

0.03)

Shkupi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

-0.01)

18.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98% (

-0.02)

50.02% (

0.02)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

-0.02)

33.31% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

-0.02)

69.93% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Shkupi 50.88%

Lincoln Red Imps 24.91%

Draw 24.2%

Shkupi	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.88%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.37% Total : 24.91%