Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Lincoln2 - 0Shkupi
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lincoln Red Imps 1-2 Shkupi
Lincoln Red Imps will need to take risks as they look to turn around a three-goal deficit, but we think that Shkupi will take advantage of any gaps left in behind the home defence to claim a narrow victory and subsequently book their place in the second round of qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Shkupi |
24.16% ( -0) | 23.6% ( -0) | 52.23% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
