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Europa League

Shamrock Rovers
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
3 - 1
Shkupi

Burke (13' pen.), Watts (29'), O'Neil (90+7')
Grace (31'), O'Neil (44'), Lyons (76'), Greene (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Queven (77')
Cephas (21'), Hamidi (30'), Diene (31'), Brdarovski (53')
Hamidi (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Shkupi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Shamrock 2-1 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Shkupi

Last Six:
    Last Game: Shkupi 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
    Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Champions League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Shkupi had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Shkupi win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

    Result
    Shamrock RoversDrawShkupi
    42.79% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.56% (-0.041 -0.04)33.65% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
    Both teams to score 62.41% (0.175 0.18)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    60.65% (0.223 0.22)39.35% (-0.219 -0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    38.31% (0.233 0.23)61.69% (-0.227 -0.23)
    Shamrock Rovers Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    81.25% (0.093999999999994 0.09)18.75% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    49.86% (0.15199999999999 0.15)50.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
    Shkupi Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.82% (0.13 0.13)23.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    42.93% (0.188 0.19)57.07% (-0.183 -0.18)
    Score Analysis
        Shamrock Rovers 42.79%
        Shkupi 33.65%
        Draw 23.55%
    Shamrock RoversDrawShkupi
    2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
    2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
    3-1 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
    3-2 @ 3.63% (0.021 0.02)
    3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    4-1 @ 2.08% (0.01 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 3.5%
    Total : 42.79%
    		1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
    2-2 @ 6.51% (0.02 0.02)
    0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.77% (0.017 0.02)
    Other @ 0.3%
    Total : 23.55%
    		1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
    1-3 @ 3.79% (0.015 0.01)
    2-3 @ 3.17% (0.021 0.02)
    0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-4 @ 1.16% (0.012 0.01)
    Other @ 3.12%
    Total : 33.65%

    How you voted: Shamrock vs Shkupi

    Shamrock Rovers
    73.3%
    Draw
    11.1%
    Shkupi
    15.6%
    45