Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundalk in this match.